Showing posts with label Merrill Lynch. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Merrill Lynch. Show all posts

Saturday, January 17, 2009

Wall Street rebounds


Wall Street has managed its second straight comeback, but the rebound was more a sign of the market's turmoil than strength.


Stocks closed moderately higher Friday after an erratic session that had investors tussling with concerns about the ongoing problems in the banking industry in response to more billion-dollar losses at Citigroup Inc. and Bank of America Corp. Yet investors were also heartened by plans for both banks to restore themselves to profitability, and they were also willing to place bets on a range of consumer and industrial stocks.


It's that tug of war between problems and promise," said Alan Gayle, senior investment strategist at RidgeWorth Investments. "I think there is a bit of a sigh of relief that there is assistance coming for Citi and Bank of America, but it seems like there is an ongoing need for this assistance."


The companies' fourth-quarter losses -- Citi said it lost $8.29 billion, while Bank of America lost $2.39 billion -- were sobering reminders that the sagging economy is aggravating the problems that began with the mortgage crisis in 2007.


Still, the market drew some reassurance from the fact that Bank of America reached a deal late Thursday to receive an additional $20 billion in capital from the government. The bank will also receive guarantees to cover up to $118 billion in losses on loans and securities backed by residential and commercial real estate as it incorporates recently acquired Merrill Lynch & Co. into its operations. Bank of America's deal with the government is similar to one Citigroup reached with the government last fall.


Meanwhile, Citigroup, among the hardest hit by the ongoing credit and mortgage market turmoil, said it plans to separate its traditional banking business from its riskier operations. Earlier in the week, Citi agreed to sell a majority stake in its brokerage business to Morgan Stanley as it looks to streamline and shed assets.


Amid the uncertainty about financials, investors were buying consumer stocks like Wal-Mart Stores Inc., McDonald's Corp. and Procter & Gamble Co. Some tech stocks were among the gainers, including Intel Inc. and Microsoft Corp. After two weeks of selling, many stocks are looking much more attractive.


The Dow Jones industrial average rose 68.73, or 0.84 percent, to 8,281.22. The Dow was down 103 points in early afternoon. On Thursday, it recovered from a 205-point loss to close up 12.35; before its rebound, the Dow fell below 8,000 for the first time since Nov. 21.


The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 6.38, or 0.76 percent, to 850.12, while the Nasdaq composite index rose 17.49, or 1.16 percent, to 1,529.33.


The indexes were down for the week, the result of selling in response to weak economic data and fears that fourth-quarter earnings reports, which begin next week in earnest, will point to a prolonged recession.


For the week, the Dow fell 3.7 percent, the S&P 500 lost 4.5 percent and the Nasdaq skidded 2.7 percent.


"We continue to see a tug of war between what has been some really bad economic data in recent weeks and optimism that the economy and financial markets are likely to stabilize and improve as we head through 2009," said Michael Sheldon, chief market strategist at RDM Financial. "There clearly are a lot of crosscurrents in the market."


Alexander Paris, economist and market analyst for Chicago-based Barrington Research, said the price swings seen in the past few days are likely to continue until all the earnings data is in.
"We're going into a test of the market, given the bad numbers coming out," Paris said. "It's a battle between sentiment and ugly fundamentals."


John Merrill, chief investment officer of Tanglewood Wealth Management, said the market will be eyeing results outside the financial industry to see if banking troubles are seeping further into the broader economy. If non-financials can show some growth, it could restart the late 2008 rally that stalled in the first week of January.


"There's no sustained buying," Merrill said. "The follow through just isn't there."
Some of Friday's price movements were exacerbated by the expiration of stock options.
Bank of America shares tumbled $1.14, or 13.7 percent, to $7.18. Citi fell 33 cents, or 8.6 percent, to $3.50.


Steven Goldman, chief market strategist, Weeden & Co., said Bank of America was down in part over concerns that government financial support will diminish shareholders' stake in the company.


"Bank of America equity holders have a new partner and are being diluted," Goldman said, adding that the bank cut the quarterly dividend to 1 cent per share, making it less attractive, and will have to cede some managerial rights to the government.


Wal-Mart rose 21 cents to $51.56, McDonald's rose $1.69 to $59.67 and Procter & Gamble rose 27 cents to $57.73. Intel rose 45 cents $13.74 and Microsoft gained 47 cents to $19.71.


The market had little reaction to the government's latest reports showing the economy remains weak.


The Labor Department said the consumer price index fell 0.7 percent in December as energy prices slid. Economists polled by Thomson Reuters forecast a 0.9 percent drop. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve said industrial production from the nation's factories, mines and utilities fell a larger-than-expected 2 percent in December. Economists expected a 1 percent.


Advancing issues outnumbered advancers by about 2 to 1 on the New York Stock Exchange, where consolidated volume came to 5.92 billion shares, down from 6.84 billion Thursday.
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 3.83, or 0.83 percent, to 466.45.


Crude oil for March delivery fell 97 cents Friday to settle at $42.57 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The February contract, which expires Tuesday, rose $1.11 to settle at $36.51 a barrel in very light trading. The dollar fell against other major currencies, while gold prices rose.


Bond prices fell. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, rose to 2.34 percent from 2.20 percent late Thursday. The yield on the three-month T-bill, considered one of the safest investments, rose to 0.11 percent from 0.10 percent.


Overseas, Japan's Nikkei stock average rose 2.6 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 gained 0.9 percent, Germany's DAX index rose 0.7 percent, and France's CAC-40 was rose 0.7 percent.


For the week, the Dow Jones industrial average fell 317.96, or 3.70 percent, to close at 8,281.22. The Standard & Poor's 500 index lost 40.23, or 4.50 percent, to close at 850.12. The Nasdaq composite index slid 42.26, or 2.70 percent, to 1,529.33.


The Russell 2000 index, which tracks the performance of small company stocks, fell 14.85, or 3.1 percent, to 466.45.


The Dow Jones Wilshire 5000 Composite Index -- a free-float weighted index that measures 5,000 U.S. based companies -- ended at 8,603.21, down 382.59 points, or 3.72 percent, for the week. A year ago, the index was at 13,308.47.

Sunday, April 6, 2008

investors Await 1Q Earnings

The fear of the unknown that has rattled the stock market for months appears to be fading. The question now is whether upcoming corporate financial reports and readings on the housing market will further calm Wall Street's anxieties or rekindle them.

Stocks rose early last week and, despite data showing that U.S. employers are eliminating more jobs than they have in five years, held onto their gains. There was a palpable relief that some banks such as Merrill Lynch & Co. feel they have enough cash, while others in need of capital -- namely Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Switzerland's UBS AG -- are able to sell stock to raise cash.

Now that JPMorgan Chase & Co. has offered to buy Bear Stearns Cos. and the Federal Reserve has lent hundreds of billions of dollars to banks, investors are more confident that the financial system can bounce back from what looked last month like a worst-case scenario: a big bank on the brink of collapse.

Wall Street knows other problems could arise, but at this point the overriding sentiment is that troubles down the road won't pull the whole market and economy down with them.

"There's been so much talk of recession for so long now. If anything, I get the sense that people are looking to get back in," said Brian Gendreau, investment strategist for ING Investment Management. But they're apprehensive, he added. "There's bad economic news still coming in. It takes some pretty steely nerves."

The Dow Jones industrial average finished last week up 3.22 percent, the Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 4.86 percent, and the Nasdaq composite index ended up 4.20 percent.

The stock market's recovery was aided by selling exhaustion among big investors. Although it's impossible to predict the market's direction, it's likely that stocks are going to be driven less by investors' need to cash out, and more by the fundamentals underlying each stock. Those fundamentals will be determined mostly by profit reports.

Alcoa Inc. on Monday reports first-quarter results, and analysts, on average, predict the aluminum company's earnings per share fell 36 percent from where they were last year. Another Dow component, General Electric Co., reports on Friday, and the average analyst estimate is for a 16 percent gain in per-share earnings.

The big headliners, however, are likely to be next week's bank earnings.

Last week, the various banks traded more divergently from one another than they have in months, indicating that there is less fear about the sector as a whole. This is not to say the battered financial sector's troubles are over. Rather, there are winners and losers emerging, and market participants know that buying the winners now could bring huge returns in the months and years to come.

Meanwhile, the Fed on Tuesday is scheduled to release minutes from its March 18 meeting, when it lowered the key interest rate to 2.25 percent. Though the minutes will be regarded to some extent as old news -- they precede the Bear Stearns buyout -- investors will want to see evidence that the Fed remains ready to come to the financial system's rescue if the credit markets deteriorate further.

It's certainly possible the credit markets, though they've loosened up over the past week, could seize up again. The reason is the housing market is anticipated to take at least another year to recover. On Tuesday, economists expect the National Association of Realtors to report that pending sales of homes in February were only slightly higher than in January -- which saw the second-lowest reading on record.

"The core, the kernel, of the credit problems are mortgages," said Quincy Krosby, chief investment strategist at The Hartford. She said defaults in Alt-A mortgages may spike higher since they became popular relatively late in the mortgage boom. Alt-A mortgages are loans to individuals with cleaner credit records than subprime borrowers, but who are not considered prime.

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

7 Stocks You Need to Know for Wednesday

Stocks surged on Tuesday, after strong gains in Europe and Asia, with financial stocks leading the advance. Before the market open, Goldman Sachs and Lehman Brothers reported stronger than expected earnings. Later in the day, the Federal Reserve slashed its benchmark rate by 75bp to 2.25% in an attempt to ease the credit crisis and help the slowing U.S. economy.

The Dow gained +420.41, while the Nasdaq Composite lost +91.25, and the S&P 500 +54.14.

Here are 7 stocks to watch...

Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS - News) reported a 53% decline in net profit, after writedowns and lower fixed income revenues. However, first quarter earnings of $3.23 per share beat estimates by $0.65. GS' Short Term PowerRating is 3.

Lehman Brothers (NYSE:LEH - News) reported first quarter earnings of $0.81, a 57% drop, but still beat estimates by $0.09. After the sudden collapse of Bear Stearns, speculation that LEH could be next to fall has been rampant, but today's numbers eased concern and led to a huge rally. LEH's Short Term PowerRating is 4.

Bloomberg reported a Wachovia analysts' note to investors that stated Merrill Lynch (NYSE:MER - News) "is the riskiest" of the remaining U.S. investment banks. MER's 4.

Yahoo! (NasdaqGS:YHOO - News) laid out its vision for the future, stating that it expects revenue to double over the next three years. The company also reaffirmed its Q1 and FY08 outlook. YHOO's Short Term PowerRating is 6.

After the close, Adobe Systems (NasdaqGS:ADBE - News) reported earnings of $0.48, beating estimates by $0.03. ADBE's Short Term PowerRating is 5.

Visa (NYSE:V - News) is set to make its debut as a publicly traded company tomorrow. The $17 billion IPO will be the biggest stock sale in U.S. history, second only to the $22 billion offering of Industrial & Commercial Bank of China.

Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS - News) is scheduled to report before the market open on Wednesday, with analysts looking for $1.03 per share. MS' Short Term PowerRating is 4.

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Sunday, March 2, 2008

7 Stocks You Need to Know for Monday

Stocks tumbled on Friday after American International Group reported its biggest loss ever, sending shock waves through the market and causing widespread selling of financial stocks.

The Dow lost -315.79, the Nasdaq Composite -60.09 and the S&P 500 lost -37.05.

American International Group's (NYSE:AIG) record $5.29 billion loss led to widespread selling on Friday. AIG's Short Term PowerRating is 4.

Meanwhile, a 6% decline in quarterly profit at Dell (NasdaqGS:DELL) weighed on the technology sector. DELL's Short Term PowerRating is 4.

After the market close, Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK-A) reported an 18% decline in fourth quarter profit and warned investors that "insurance-industry profit margins, including ours, will fall significantly in 2008". BRKA's Short Term PowerRating is 5.

Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) won a $35 billion contract to build air refueling tankers. NOC's Short Term PowerRating is 6.

The news Northrop Grumman was a major blow to market leader Boeing (NYSE:BA). BA's Short Term PowerRating is 5.

Late on Friday, The Wall Street Journal reported that Countrywide Financial (NYSE:CFC) may be sanctioned for "alleged abuses of the bankruptcy system." CFC's Short Term PowerRating is 5.

And finally, do you think Merrill Lynch (NYSE:MER) will close up or down on Tuesday? Short Term PowerRating is 5. Play TradingMarkets Up or Down Daily Stock Contest for the chance to win $1000 every month by predicting the direction of a stock.