Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Stocks Higher As Investors Await Fed

Wall Street was mostly higher Tuesday as the Federal Reserve opened a two-day meeting expected to bring another interest rate cut to revitalize the U.S. economy.

The Fed's rate decision is clearly the market's focus this week, and trading is marked by investors' conjectures about policymakers' thoughts on the weak economy and crunched financial industry. With an announcement not expected until Wednesday afternoon, the market in the meantime digested data on earnings, consumer spending and durable goods.

Investors did get some encouragement about the economy after the Commerce Department said orders for big-ticket items rose 5.2 percent in December, the widest jump in five months. In addition, the Conference Board reported consumer confidence fell in January -- pretty much as expected.

Economic data will continue to be scrutinized as investors try to determine what the Fed's take is on the economy. Investors are angling for a half-point cut following its emergency three-quarter-point cut last week.

"The market is just in a holding pattern," said Todd Leone, managing director of equity trading at Cowen & Co. "It seems we've hit a short-term bottom, and the market has been stabilizing as we wait to hear what the Fed says."

In early afternoon trading, the Dow Jones industrial average rose 37.64, or 0.30 percent, to 12,421.53.

Broader indexes were mixed. The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 2.20, or 0.16 percent, to 1,356.16, and the Nasdaq composite fell 4.82, or 0.21 percent, to 2,345.09.

Government bond prices fell as stocks rose, indicating that investors feel less need for the safety of Treasurys. The 10-year Treasury note's yield, which moves opposite its price, was at 3.67 percent, up from 3.58 percent late Monday.

The dollar was mixed against most major currencies, and gold prices fell.

Oil prices moved higher as traders waited to see what the Fed's next move will be. A barrel of light sweet crude fell 23 cents to $90.76 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Wall Street has been extremely volatile in recent weeks amid fears of a U.S. recession and further write-downs in the financial sector. However, that has given way to a more quiet tone this week as investors looked for their second-straight day of gains before the Fed's decision.

Central bankers are widely expected to lower its key rate, now at 3.5 percent, by as much as one-half percentage point to 3 percent when policy-makers wrap up on Wednesday. This will be the last meeting for two months, but that doesn't rule out another emergency cut in the meantime.

Rate cuts are just one part of the central bank's plan to boost the economy. The Fed auctioned $30 billion in funds to commercial banks on Tuesday -- the fourth time since last month it has provided cash-strapped banks with extra reserves.

The auction is designed to keep banks lending and prevent a severe credit squeeze from pushing the country into a recession. Global banks have lost about $141 billion since the credit crisis began last year.

Investors were also hopeful after President Bush's State of the Union address Monday night. Bush urged Congress, as expected, to expedite its approval of a $150 billion tax relief and business incentive package.

As American Express Co.'s fourth-quarter results indicated Monday, companies are being forced to prepare for a climate throughout 2008 of deteriorating credit and slower spending. American Express said its fourth-quarter profit fell 10 percent after socking away more cash in reserve to use in case cardholders can't pay back their debt. AmEx rose 10 cents to $47.50.

In other earnings news, 3M Co., the maker of Post-it notes and Scotch tape, reported on Tuesday a decline in net income but the results beat analyst expectations. 3M rose 75 cents to $78.19.

The embattled mortgage lender Countrywide Financial Corp., which was recently bought by Bank of America Corp., posted a sharp loss, as expected, due to its missteps in subprime lending.

Countrywide rose 25 cents, or 4.2 percent, to $6.20; BofA added 46 cents to $41.66.

The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies dipped 1.13, or 0.16 percent, to 701.26.

Advancing issues led decliners by a 4-to-3 basis on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 758.9 million.

In Asian trading, Tokyo's Nikkei stock average closed up 2.99 percent; Shanghai's key index added 0.87 percent; and Hong Kong's main index rose 0.99 percent. In European trading, London's FTSE rose 1.66 percent; Frankfurt's DAX rose 1.09 percent; and Paris' CAC rose 1.92 percent.

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