Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Latest Updates

11:30 am : In the past half-hour, the Dow climbs to fresh session highs and the S&P trades near its intraday high. The Nasdaq is well off its lows, but has been unable to reach its opening highs as it trades slightly above the unchanged mark.

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) cut its forecast for world growth this year, citing continued stress in global credit markets, according to Reuters. The IMF also warned that economic activity could slow further. It now expects the global economy to grow 4.1%, compared to its earlier forecast of 4.4%.DJ30 +77.72 NASDAQ +3.56 SP500 +7.37 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1337/1422/725 mln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1115/1870/477 mln

11:00 am : The major indices are trading in mixed fashion. The Dow and S&P
are holding slight gains, while the Nasdaq is trading with a slight loss. Seven of the ten sectors are higher, led by a 2.6% surge in telecom. Consumer discretionary is the main laggard (-0.7%) as retailers shed 1%.

The market rumor that JPMorgan Chase (JPM 45.95, +0.83) was facing a big derivative loss is not true, according to Reuters, citing sources. JPMorgan has been relatively unscathed by the subprime turmoil that has mired other Wall Street banks.DJ30 +47.13 NASDAQ -3.88 SP500 +4.71 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1363/1332/579 mln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1167/1759/366 mln

10:30 am : The stock market is back in the green as it rises in conjunction with financials (+0.7%). JPMorgan (JPM 45.88, +0.31) declined sharply during the recent retreat on a headline that stated there is a rumor the company may be facing a large trading loss. A CNBC commentator has said the rumor is most likely not true, as the stock recovers.

After a rough start, 3M (MMM 77.84, +0.40) is modestly outperforming the broader market. The company reported fourth quarter earnings of $1.19 per share, topping estimates by two cents. The company also reiterated its 2008 guidance. The stock was lower at the start of trading, but has rebounded in the green after traders liked what the company said during its conference call. DJ30 +54.22 NASDAQ -1.21 SP500 +5.23 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 1397/1195/419 mln NYSE Dec/Adv/Vol 1329/1550/258 mln

10:05 am : Stocks give up their early gains, led by a dip in tech (-0.8%) and financials (-0.2%).
Just hitting the wires, the Conference Board said January consumer confidence was 87.9, down from December's revised reading of 90.6. Economists expected a reading of 87.0. The response immediately after the release was negative, sending the major indices to their session lows.

The weakness in tech is weighing on the Nasdaq, which is now trading with a modest loss. The S&P and Dow are trading with a slight loss.DJ30 -15.52 NASDAQ -16.08 SP500 -2.25 NASDAQ Dec/Adv/Vol 857/1509/134 mln

09:45 am : The stock market opens modestly higher, buoyed by a better than expected durable orders report.

December durable orders rose 5.2%, larger than the expected 1.6% rise. Excluding transportation, orders still rose a healthy 2.6%. This strong level of orders in December does not support the assertion that the economy is in a recession.
Earnings reports have been mostly better than expected, although some companies disappointed with their outlooks.

The consumer confidence reading will be released at the top of the hour.DJ30 +47.31 NASDAQ +7.90 SP500 +6.73

09:13 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +9.2. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +11.8.

08:59 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +8.7. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +12.0. Futures continue to point to a higher start. The FOMC begins its two day meeting today, and is set to issue its statement on Wednesday at 14:15 ET. Fed funds futures indicate a 76% chance of a 50 basis point cut, with the rest of the bets on a 25 basis point cut.

08:30 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +9.9. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +9.5. Stock futures extended their gains, and then climb higher on a better than expected economic release. December Durable orders rose 5.2%, compared November’s revised reading of 0.5%. Economists expected a rise of 1.6%. Countrywide (CFC) reported a fourth quarter loss of $0.79 per share, $0.49 worse than the consensus estimate. The company issued a dividend of $0.15 on its common shares. It will not be holding a conference call to discuss its results due to its pending merger with Bank of America.

08:01 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +3.3. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: flat. Futures point to a flat to slightly higher open. Earnings reports have been mostly better than expected. 3M (MMM) topped estimates by two cents and reaffirmed its FY08 earnings guidance. Eli Lilly (LLY) and EMC (EMC) beat their estimates and provided reassuring FY08 guidance. American Express (AXP) met, but continues to be cautious in its 2008 outlook. VMware (VMW) beat expectations but is getting clipped in pre-market trading after guiding revenues slightly below the consensus estimate.

06:19 am : S&P futures vs fair value: +5.9. Nasdaq futures vs fair value: +3.3.

06:16 am : FTSE...5883.60...+94.70...+1.6%. DAX...6911.98...+93.13...+1.4%.

06:16 am : Nikkei...13478.86...+390.95...+3.0%. Hang Seng...24291.80...+238.19...+1.0%.

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